It’s been two weeks since my last post, and by now you may be wondering what the heck I’ve been up to lately. Contrary to swirling rumors I didn’t embark on an extended vacation (although I could use one) and I also haven’t joined some religious crypto cult and cast aside all earthly possessions.
True to form the entire crypto community just flipped from a state of suicidal depression back to mania. Turns out a federal appeals court ruled that the SEC must review its prior rejection of Grayscale’s ETF proposal to convert its Bitcoin Trust into a spot bitcoin ETF.
To quote one of my favorite movies: “I love the smell of napalm in the morning.” Most of you living stateside probably woke up to the charred remains of what was generally expected to be a crypto market on the verge of breaking out higher.
Okay let me give it to you straight: There is absolutely nothing to be done right now. Nope – this isn’t clickbait. There’s a reason I’m posting it just like this. Hear me out.
It’s early August, which means we’re smack middle inside my least favorite season. In fact there’s only one season I absolutely despise and that’s SUMMER! And with good reason…
I hate to be the bearer of bad news but something is very rotten in the realm of Big Tech. What I’m talking about here is – gasp – fundamentals! Not exactly my go-to topic but hear me out.
If there’s one thing I consider myself to be pretty good at it’s looking at a particular scenario and assessing its probability of playing out. In fact it’s been my bread and butter activity over the past 15 years, and by all intents and purposes I have it down to a science.
Bear market short squeezes have a deserved reputation for being a brutal affair. Simple reason being that anyone with a firing neuron can clearly see the writing on the wall. But if you happen to fall prey to common sense or logical thinking you’re very likely to have your account taken to the wood shed.
/unpopularopinion: Once again retail buys the top and sells the floor. There – I said it.
Chances are it hasn’t escaped your attention that we are living in pretty volatile and fast moving times. It’s by no means a new phenomenon, in fact I can trace back a gradual but consistent ramp up in general nuttiness all the way back to the 2008 financial crisis.